Selected Publications

Click on the titles or specific links to download the publication.

Journals & Books

Zeitschrift f. Energiewirtschaft
Untersuchung verschiedener Handelsstrategien für Wind-und Solarenergie unter Berücksichtigung der EEG 2012 Novellierung (Link allows download of Author's Version) Zeitschrift f. Energiewirtschaft, Vol.36, No.1 pp 9-25, 2012
Link to Journal Zeitschrift f. Energiewirtschaft
ENGLISH TRANSLATION of full manuscript by Authors:
Investigation of various trading strategies for wind and solar power developed for the new EEG 2012 rules

IEEE Power & Energy
Where the Wind Blows - Power Management and Forecasting in Areas with High Wind-Energy Penetration Levels IEEE Power & Energy, Vol.7 No.6, Nov./Dec. 2009. Link to Journal IEEE Power & Energy

Application of cost functions for large-scale integration of wind power using a multi-scheme ensemble prediction technique, in "Optimization Advances in Electric Power Systems", Ed. Edgardo D. Castronuovo, NOVA Publisher NY, ISBN: 978-1-60692-613-0, (2008).
Link to Book Optimization Advances in Electric Power Systems

IEEE Power & Energy
Predicting the Wind, Models and Methods of Wind Forecasting for Utility Operations Planning, IEEE Power & Energy, Vol.5 No.6, Nov./Dec. 2007.
Link to Journal IEEE Power & Energy

Zeitschrift f. Energiewirtschaft
On the Potential of coupling Renewables into Energy Pools, Zeitschrift f. Energiewirtschaft, No. 1/2007, Vol.31, pp 35-46, 2007
Link to Journal Zeitschrift f. Energiewirtschaft

Scienttific Background of the MSEPS system
Uncertainty in Wind energy Forecasting. Thesis (PhD) Deptartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University College Cork, Ireland, DP2004 MÖEH, May 2004.
[Full text] (PDF 2.8MB)

Conferences & Workshops,Paper & Presentations

UVIG Workshop "Wind Forecasting Applications to Utility Planning and Operations", February 2012 - Tucson, Arizona
Large-scale forecasting with Ensemble Forecasts
[Presentation] (PDF 1.9 Mbyte)
Large-scale cross-country forecasting with the help of Ensemble Forecasts
[Presentation] (PDF 0.7 Mbyte)

10th Int. Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Farms, Aarhus, 2011
Increasing the Competition on Reserve for Balancing Wind Power with the help of Ensemble Forecasts
[Paper] (334kB) - [Presentation] (PDF 570kB)

German Wind Energy Conference DEWEK 2010 Bremen:
Using Ensembles for Large-scale Forecasting of Wind Power in a European SuperGrid context
[Paper] (PDF 253kB) - [Presentation] (PDF 437 Kbyte) - Conference

8th International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Farms, Bremen, Germany, October, 2009
A new algorithm for Upscaling and Short-term forecasting of wind power using Ensemble forecasts
[Paper] (PDF 493 Kbyte) - [Presentation] (PDF 437 Kbyte) - Workshop

3rd Workshop on Best Practice in the Use of Short-term Forecasting of Wind Power, Bremen, Germany, October 2009
First experiences of the new EEG trading rules in Germany and introduction of an ensemble based short-term forecasting methodology for intra-day trading. [Presentation] (PDF 992KB) - Workshop

UWIG Workshop "Wind Forecasting Applications to Utility Planning and Operations", February 2009 - Phoenix, Arizona
Short-term Forecasting and Optimisation using Ensembles
[Presentation](PDF 1.2Mbyte)

European Wind Energy Conference EWEC'08, Brussels, Belgium, 2008
HRensembleHR Project Progress in applying Short-range Ensemble Forecasts for Offshore Wind power
[Poster] (PDF 1.2 Mbytes )
[Full Text] (PDF 232 Kbytes)

Industry Workshop of AESO Wind Forecasting Study (June 2008)
- WEPROG Forecasting Results & Recommendations
- All Presentations
- Webcast

AESO Wind Power Forecastng Pilot Project (May 2008):
- Final Project Report
- Presentation.

European Offshore Wind Energy Conference EOW 2007, Berlin:
HRENSEMBLE: High Resolution Ensemble For Horns Rev Project Progress, European Offshore Wind Energy Conference, Berlin, 2007.

AESO Wind Power Forecastng Pilot Project Pre- Conference Sesson, 24th April 2007, Calgary, Alberta, Canada:
MSEPS Setup for the AESO Pilot study and preliminary results from the Training Phase

CanWEA/AWEA Joint Seminar - Wind Energy Integration and Forecasting – April 25 – 26, 2007, Calgary, Alberta, Canada:
Wind Energy Integration and Forecasting in Denmark and Germany

German Wind Energy Conference DEWEK 2006 Bremen:
Foercasting Wind Power in high Wind Penetration Markets using Multi-Scheme Ensemble Prediction Methods:

Global Wind Energy Conference GWEC 2006 Adelaide, Australia:
Forecasting total wind power generation on the Republic of Ireland Grid with a Multi-Scheme Ensemble Prediction System

Renewable Energy & Maritime Conference 2006, Dublin, Ireland:
Aggregate Forecasting of Wind Power Generation on the Irish Grid using a Multi-Scheme Ensemble Prediction System:

European Wind Energy Conference EWEC 2006 Athens, Greece:
Application of a Multi-Scheme Ensemble Prediction System for Wind Power Forecating in Ireland and comparison with validation results from Denmark and Germany:



Public Reports :


HREnsemble Project: (see http://www.hrensemble.net)

Public Interim Report 1 (2007): Verification of WEPROG's MSEPS with data from the FINO1 platform.
[Download Report] (783kB).

Public Interim Report 2 (2008): Progress report on a variability forecast approach, ocean modelli ng, and sensitivity analysis of oceanographic variables for offshore forecasting.
[Download Report] (1.06 MB).

Final Report (2010): HRensembleHR - HRensembleHR: A High Resolution Ensemble for Horns Rev.
[Download Report] (2.1 MB) [Executive Summary] (73 KB)

DEWEPS Project:

Public Report 1 (2010/01): Event Analysis of an extreme forecasting error case and discussion on optimisation of wind power integration.
[Download Report] (pd f, 705kB).